Last year I attended the 1st consultation on the Boundary Commissions proposals for the new boundaries. While not perfect, they were reasonable and considered. Following that process they came back with a revision that almost entirely mirrored the DUP version of Leo and Theresawhat was essentially a unionist wish list. A Gerrymander of epic proportions in my opinion.Boundary Commission for Northern Ireland Final Recommendations Report

The final version, published today, is essentially that DUP wish list with minor alterations.

North Down as the sacrificial lamb and the capitulation on Belfast are the glaring examples.

I have no doubts whatsoever that political intervention has taken place here and, contrary to the BC guidelines, influence has been excercised which has no place in their remit.

Based upon these changes, Sylvia Hermon would definitely lose since the 3 Holywood area wards removed which are strong for her and the wards added from the Ards Peninsula are heavily DUP.

The nationalist electorate goes up by 1% in North Belfast but these are mainly extra voters from Newtownabbey that would also add to the Alliance vote.

 

Faha has collated the figures below and this is a work in progress so please bear with us.

Religion or religion brought up in:
Catholic (%)
Religion or religion brought up in:
Protestant and Other Christian (including Christian related) (%)
Religion or religion brought up in:
Other religions (%)
Religion or religion brought up
None (%)
Belfast East 12.70% 75.40% 1.44% 10.47%
New 14.09% 73.83% 1.43% 10.65%
Belfast North 46.94% 45.67% 1.04% 6.36%
New 47.90% 44.21% 1.14% 6.75%
Belfast South 44.01% 43.65% 2.80% 9.54%
New 42.00% 45.82% 2.71% 9.48%
Belfast West 80.09% 16.64% 0.58% 2.69%
New 69.70% 26.18% 0.67% 3.45%
East Antrim 20.39% 70.11% 0.97% 8.53%
New 16.63% 74.06% 0.86% 8.44%
East Londonderry 41.70% 53.27% 0.68% 4.35%
New- Causeway 33.52% 60.83% 0.74% 4.91%
Fermanagh and South Tyrone 57.69% 39.10% 0.61% 2.60%
New 58.57% 38.27% 0.59% 2.57%
Foyle 75.12% 22.02% 0.79% 2.07%
New 74.31% 22.79% 0.79% 2.11%
Mid Ulster 66.72% 30.78% 0.44% 2.06%
New 65.67% 31.76% 0.45% 2.12%
Newry and Armagh 66.36% 30.59% 0.55% 2.50%
New 69.43% 27.69% 0.54% 2.35%
North Antrim 28.39% 66.03% 0.74% 4.84%
New- Mid Antrim 30.28% 64.15% 0.72% 4.85%
North Down 12.59% 74.44% 1.15% 11.83%
New 14.61% 73.47% 1.07% 10.86%
South Antrim 31.86% 59.80% 0.87% 7.46%
New 28.47% 62.06% 1.00% 8.47%
South Down 69.26% 26.85% 0.52% 3.36%
New 68.66% 27.53% 0.52% 3.29%
Strangford 17.28% 73.13% 0.94% 8.65%
New- Mid Down 17.69% 73.86% 0.89% 7.57%
Upper Bann 44.00% 49.99% 0.88% 5.14%
New 43.72% 50.30% 0.92% 5.06%
West Tyrone 67.98% 30.16% 0.40% 1.47%
New-  Sperrin 70.23% 27.99% 0.37% 1.41%
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