Well, it was originally called Lisnagarvey before it was burnt during the 1653 rebellion by those eh, rebels. (Can’t call them Fenians as the Fenians hadn’t appeared yet). Anyhow lets look at how things are changing in this particular corner of the blue sky’d unionist paradise. The 2011 election results are as follows with the 2011 Census results below:

DUP: 16,767 (41.0%), 14 councillors
SF: 8,328 (20.3%), 5 councillors
UUP: 6,803 (16.6%), 5 councillors
Alliance: 4,243 (10.4%), 3 councillors
SDLP: 3,600 (8.8%), 3 councillors

Catholic: 36.5% (+ 3%), Protestant 56% (-7%),  Other 1% (+0.7%),  None 7% (+3.5%)

Courtesy of ARK website

Courtesy of ARK website

The Catholic population here is very concentrated in certain areas and interestingly these are the only wards to show a decrease in the catholic percentage, namely Twinbrook, Colin Glen, Kilwee and Poleglass. All overwhelmingly catholic areas.

Every other ward has seen a net increase in the catholic and a decrease in the protestant percentages. The highlights are Ballymacoss, Harmony Hill, Moira, Derryaghy………..actually, I give up, the rest are all highlights. Whether this will translate into extra votes and seats remains to be seen. I can’t actually see where this might happen just yet but the trend is confirmed. Things are moving solidly in only one direction. The grey skies so feared by certain politicians in years past are gathering.

Ward figures are below:

Catholic Change Protestant Change
95SS01 Ballinderry 5.7% -10.1%
95SS02 Ballymacash 6.7% -7.7%
95SS03 Ballymacbrennan 4.1% -7.1%
95SS04 Ballymacoss 10.0% -14.7%
95SS05 Blaris 6.6% -12.2%
95SS06 Collin Glen -3.4% 2.5%
95SS07 Derryaghy 10.8% -13.3%
95SS08 Dromara 3.4% -7.8%
95SS09 Drumbo 8.7% -13.1%
95SS10 Dunmurry 2.2% -4.6%
95SS11 Glenavy 5.0% -7.5%
95SS12 Harmony Hill 7.0% -10.0%
95SS13 Hilden 2.9% -7.2%
95SS14 Hillhall 6.7% -12.1%
95SS15 Hillsborough 5.7% -9.0%
95SS16 Kilwee -5.0% 3.3%
95SS17 Knockmore 5.0% -9.6%
95SS18 Lagan Valley 7.5% -13.9%
95SS19 Lambeg 4.4% -10.7%
95SS20 Lisnagarvey 2.1% -6.5%
95SS21 Maghaberry -2.1% -2.5%
95SS22 Magheralave 4.5% -8.4%
95SS23 Maze 2.5% -7.1%
95SS24 Moira 5.9% -10.6%
95SS25 Old Warren 2.1% -10.3%
95SS26 Poleglass -3.9% 2.8%
95SS27 Seymour Hill 5.3% -12.2%
95SS28 Tonagh 5.1% -11.1%
95SS29 Twinbrook -7.0% 5.3%
95SS30 Wallace Park 3.8% -6.6%
3.7% -7.7%
Advertisements