Today the ward by ward information has been released at last from the 2011 census. The results are, in my view, startling. I have reproduced below the changes   since the last census in 2001. The highlights as I see it are the following:

Of 52 Wards, 38 have swung towards a catholic majority by an average swing of 11.3%. the rest have become more protestant by an average of 2.6%. This is a stunning turnaround in a ten year period by any measure.

Ward level Changes 2011

The wards with the largest changes are:

CHANGE 2011                                                   Protestant %       Catholic %

95GG20 Duncairn -26.4% 18.0%
95GG50 Woodstock -23.4% 13.2%
95GG37 Ravenhill -20.4% 14.1%
95GG44 The Mount -21.4% 12.2%
95GG10 Blackstaff -19.9% 10.8%
95GG11 Bloomfield -17.9% 11.0%
95GG29 Island -19.8% 8.6%
95GG32 Legoniel -13.8% 10.6%
95GG24 Fortwilliam -13.7% 8.4%
95GG36 Orangefield -14.0% 7.7%
95GG43 Sydenham -14.4% 6.1%
95GG19 Crumlin -11.6% 7.7%
95GG03 Ballyhackamore -12.1% 5.6%
95GG13 Castleview -10.1% 7.0%
95GG28 Highfield -11.4% 5.3%
95GG15 Cherryvalley -9.8% 5.6%
95GG30 Knock -10.8% 4.0%

This is a preliminary  look at the figures. Lots more work to do 🙂

The only wards where protestants increased over the ten year period are:

95GG25 Glen Road 1.0%
95GG47 Water Works 0.4%
95GG07 Beechmount 2.4%
95GG22 Falls Park 1.5%
95GG46 Upper Springfield 2.1%
95GG02 Ardoyne 1.9%
95GG12 Botanic 0.2%
95GG01 Andersonstown 2.6%
95GG27 Glencolin 3.9%
95GG18 Clonard 3.8%
95GG48 Whiterock 4.1%
95GG35 New Lodge 5.4%
95GG21 Falls 4.8%

Hmmm, is there a common thread there?

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