I’m a bit frustrated to be honest tonight.

I had a blog all ready to go and then Enda beat me to it ! Excellent post and he pretty much says everything I was going to say, fair play to him. I didn’t want to post something similar as I try to be a little original when I can and I detest laziness or recycling others good work (Wait till you see what the newspapers come up with).

So, here’s something else to get your teeth into. Picking up on Sammy and Charlies great exchange on the previous post, below is a chart detailing the correlation between the previous Census and Local Government election results in the same year and now (2011 election), ten years later.

Health Warning: These figures are accurate but there are significant local factors that skew results, eg: No Nationalist candidates in Carrick or North Down, the appalling SDLP performance in North Down, Ards, etc, etc (I Know)

In my view the strength of this blog (And I publish my views on the sidebar) is the strength of those commenting. Thank you all and keep it up please. I would encourage those viewers who don’t wish to comment to use the thumbs up or down feature. It helps the rest of us to know what you think and it is annonymous.

2001 Census 2001 LGD Election 2011 LGD Election
LGD Catholic Pop Nationalist Votes Diff Nationalist Votes Diff
Belfast 47.19% 45.80% 1.39% 44.60% 2.59%
North Down 12.58% 0.00% 12.58% 1.20% 11.38%
Carrickfergus 8.66% 0.00% 8.66% 0.00% 8.66%
Castlereagh 18.26% 12.20% 6.06% 14.00% 4.26%
Larne 25.18% 13.20% 11.98% 13.50% 11.68%
Newtownabbey 19.36% 10.70% 8.66% 14.90% 4.46%
Coleraine 27.21% 19.70% 7.51% 19.50% 7.71%
Ards 12.60% 3.90% 8.70% 6.80% 5.80%
Ballymena 20.97% 17.80% 3.17% 16.90% 4.07%
Moyle 60.29% 59.20% 1.09% 57.60% 2.69%
Craigavon 44.68% 41.30% 3.38% 40.00% 4.68%
Lisburn 33.35% 24.50% 8.85% 29.10% 4.25%
Derry 75.37% 73.70% 1.67% 72.10% 3.27%
Antrim 38.64% 33.50% 5.14% 33.70% 4.94%
Down 61.95% 58.40% 3.55% 57.10% 4.85%
Banbridge 31.47% 22.90% 8.57% 24.60% 6.87%
Fermanagh 58.73% 52.20% 6.53% 49.10% 9.63%
Strabane 66.19% 59.60% 6.59% 63.10% 3.09%
Ballymoney 31.90% 29.10% 2.80% 30.40% 1.50%
Limavady 56.58% 53.70% 2.88% 52.50% 4.08%
Armagh 48.70% 45.00% 3.70% 46.10% 2.60%
Omagh 69.07% 62.40% 6.67% 60.20% 8.87%
Newry and Mourne 80.64% 74.70% 5.94% 74.10% 6.54%
Dungannon 60.80% 53.20% 7.60% 48.40% 12.40%
Cookstown 57.64% 56.80% 0.84% 57.10% 0.54%
Magherafelt 64.13% 64.10% 0.03% 64.30% -0.17%
Average 43.54% 37.98% 5.56% 38.11% 5.43%

UPDATE: I have updated the chart at this link.lgd-20111 (1)

It includes independent Nationalist votes and I have also included Alliance vote percentages as suggested by Sammy. Thanks for the ideas! Keep it coming.

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